FILE – Alabama wide receiver Jameson Williams (1) runs down the sideline on a long pass reception against New Mexico State during the first half of an NCAA college football game Nov. 13, 2021, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. If the Chiefs want the closest player-for-player replacement for Tyreek Hill, it could mean trading up to pick Alabama’s Jameson Williams, who is 10 weeks removed from an ACL injury. (AP Photo/Vasha Hunt, File)
- The NFL Draft takes place this week starting with the First Round on Thursday (April 28th, 8:00 pm ET)
- Jameson Williams has been skyrocketing up mock draft boards, and is a strong value to be the first WR off the board
- Read below for odds, analysis, and Draft props to target
The NFL offseason has been full of fireworks so far and you better believe there’s more to come. This year’s Draft is a prime spot for more blockbuster trades to happen, and the action should be fast and furious after the first name is called. The NFL Draft Time is scheduled for Thursday (April 28th, 8:00 pm ET), with the festivities lasting all weekend in Las Vegas.
A must-see event for football fans every year, the Draft has turned into one of the premier betting events on the NFL calendar and there’s no shortage of different markets to get wagers down on.
The most popular ways to do so will be by betting the over/under on players’ draft position, as well as wagering on the first running back | wide receiver | offensive lineman | cornerback | linebacker | safety | offensive player | and special teams player off the board.
There’s plenty of value to be found, so check out the odds for the NFL Draft picks below, plus a bet in every category to target.
NFL Draft Over/Under Bets
|Player||Over Odds||Under Odds|
|Aidan Hutchinson||1.5 (-200)||1.5 (+150)|
|Travon Walker||3.5 (+400)||3.5 (-550)|
|Ikem Ekwonu||4.5 (+120)||4.5 (-150)|
|Kayvon Thibodeaux||4.5 (+135)||4.5 (-165)|
|Ahmad Gardner||5.5 (-105)||5.5 (-125)|
|Evan Neal||5.5 (-115)||5.5 (-115)|
|Charles Cross||7.5 (+115)||7.5 (-145)|
|Derek Stingley Jr.||9.5 (+120)||9.5 (-150)|
|Garrett Wilson||9.5 (-130)||9.5 (+100)|
|Malik Willis||9.5 (-200)||9.5 (+165)|
|Kyle Hamilton||10.5 (-175)||10.5 (+135)|
|Drake London||10.5 (-155)||10.5 (+125)|
|Jameson Williams||11.5 (-130)||11.5 (+100)|
|Kenny Pickett||12.5 (-175)||12.5 (+140)|
|Jordan Davis||14.5 (+120)||14.5 (-150)|
|Chris Olave||16.5 (-105)||16.5 (-125)|
|Trevor Penning||16.5 (+125)||16.5 (-150)|
|Trent McDuffie||17.5 (+115)||17.5 (-145)|
|Devin Lloyd||19.5 (-125)||19.5 (-105)|
|George Karlaftis||22.5 (-115)||22.5 (-115)|
|Treylon Burks||23.5 (-110)||23.5 (-120)|
|Zion Johnson||24.5 (-105)||24.5 (-125)|
|Tyler Linderbaum||27.5 (-105)||27.5 (-125)|
|Kenyon Green||27.5 (-115)||27.5 (-115)|
|Desmond Ridder||28.5 (-135)||28.5 (+105)|
|Andrew Booth Jr.||28.5 (-190)||28.5 (-150)|
|Daxton Hill||29.5 (+120)||29.5 (-150)|
|Devonte Wyatt||29.5 (-115)||29.5 (-115)|
|Nakobe Dean||30.5 (-130)||30.5 (+100)|
|Jahan Dotson||31.5 (-130)||31.5 (+100)|
|Arnold Ebiketie||31.5 (-125)||31.5 (-105)|
|Boye Mafe||31.5 (+100)||31.5 (-130)|
|Matt Corral||33.5 (-135)||33.5 (+100)|
|Tyler Smith||33.5 (-115)||33.5 (-115)|
|Kyler Gordon||33.5 (-115)||33.5 (-115)|
|Skyy Moore||34.5 (-125)||34.5 (-105)|
|George Pickens||36.5 (+100)||36.5 (-130)|
London Falls out of Top-10
This year’s receiver class is loaded with talent, but as the evaluation process has gone on more and more holes have started to pop up among some of the top-tier wideouts. One player whose stock is trending down in the NFL Draft odds is USC’s Drake London.
Based on what I’m hearing, if I had to guess the 11th pick today, it’s Drake London, and he’s the third WR taken.
Again, just a prediction, not who I’d necessarily take. The Commanders have spent more resources researching him than almost any other player in the draft
— COMMANDERS FOOTBALL (@HogsHaven) April 25, 2022
London has elite size at 6-4 and 219 pounds and is one of the best tackle breakers in this class at the position. However, he lacks speed which seems to be what more and more teams are coveting these days.
He opted not to a run the 40 this spring which only heightened the questions about his burst. London wasn’t asked to run a complex route tree in college and 46% of his catches came within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage. On the longer routes, he did run he didn’t create a ton of separation and there’s a concern that he’ll struggle against aggressive man coverage.
Former Vikings GM Rick Spielman is on tiktok, here he is talking about how he thinks Drake London will struggle to separate at the NFL level pic.twitter.com/sAHvRV2QWc
— Theo Ash (@TheoAshNFL) April 22, 2022
Also working against him is his injury history. He broke his ankle in October and suffered a hamstring pull earlier this month.
Pick: Drake London Over 10.5 (-150)
Ridder Goes Earlier Than Expected
While London’s stock is down Cincinnati QB Demond Ridder’s is on the rise. Ridder, who led the Bearcats to an improbable berth in the College Football Playoff, has been impressing teams all spring.
Most experts are mocking him in the First Round and there are plenty of teams that would benefit from the poise and composure he plays with.
The Seahawks, who pick at #9 and who are in desperate need of a QB, chose to bring in only one quarterback for a visit and that was Ridder. The Steelers, who pick at 20, reportedly love Ridder and at this point, the whole football world knows they’re going to draft Big Ben’s replacement this year.
One week out, every big mock draft has the Steelers taking a quarterback at 20:
ESPN, CBS: Kenny Pickett
The Athletic: Desmond Ridder
NFL website: Malik Willis
The national NFL media is convinced the Steelers take a QB. Are you?
— Andrew Fillipponi (@ThePoniExpress) April 21, 2022
Tennessee at pick #27 is another team to watch. They can walk away from Ryan Tannehill at the end of this season, so they’ll likely want to bring a QB in this year and give him a full season to learn the ropes. Of course, teams like Atlanta and Carolina are also reportedly in the QB market making a Ridder a strong bet to be off the board before pick 29.
Pick: Desmond Ridder Under 28.5 (+105)
NFL Draft Betting Props
As mentioned earlier, one of the more popular ways to bet the Draft is through the position group props. You can wager on who will be the first player off the board for nearly all of the groups, starting with the running back position
Odds to Be First Running Back Drafted
|Brian Robinson Jr.||+3000|
There’s only been four running backs selected in the First Round over the past three Drafts, and this year there’s a chance no RB goes on Day 1. Breece Hall, the clear favorite to be the first running back taken, is currently +150 to be a First Round draft pick.
It’s believed the most likely team to address that position with their first pick is the Bills, but if they pass Hall will likely slide to Day 2. Regardless, he’s still going to be the first RB taken.
He’s an excellent combination of size and speed running a 4.39 40 at 217 pounds. He profiles as a complete three-down back, catching 82 passes at the collegiate level while handling nearly 70% of the rushing attempts in his final year.
Walker, the next most talented back, is an excellent rusher but profiles more like a two-down bruiser. He caught only 19 passes in college and is a below-average pass blocker.
Pick: Breece Hall (-240)
Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Drafted
When it comes to speed NFL teams just can’t help themselves. It’s what got Henry Ruggs drafted ahead of Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb and Tee Higgins among others in 2020, and it’s what vaulted Jon Ross to number 9 in 2017, ahead of names like Cooper Kupp and Chris Godwin.
This year, Jameson Williams is the field stretcher teams can’t take their eyes off of for good reason. Williams has the most explosive play-making ability in this class and is a potential home run, while the rest of the group is full of singles and doubles.
my wr ranks no one asked for:
1. Jameson Williams
2. George Pickens
3. Chris Olave
4. Drake London
5. Garrett Wilson
6. Skyy Moore
— Gregg Rosenthal (@greggrosenthal) April 25, 2022
There’s a good chance he would have been the favorite if not for a season-ending ACL injury, but recent social media posts show his rehab is ahead of schedule.
— Rocky Arceneaux (@Alliance_Sports) April 25, 2022
He’s the closest thing there is to Tyreek Hill in this year’s class and no one should be surprised if that ceiling is enough to make him the first wideout off the board.
Pick: Jameson Williams (+200)
Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Drafted
This is another category where it makes sense to fade the favorite. Ikem Ekwonu is a mauler in the run game, but if the Texans and Jets chose to address a different position at picks 3 and 4, the door will be open for Charles Cross at 5.
Cross is the best pass-blocking tackle among the top three, and that’s exactly what the Giants are hoping to address at pick 5 per reports.
Keep hearing NYG and CAR connected to Mississippi St OT Charles Cross. It’s lying season so take it FWIW. If true, NYG should take Cross at 5, knowing CAR is likely to go OT or QB at 6. Then NYG gets same EDGE at 7 as it would’ve gotten at 5. Only potential flaw = CAR trading 6.
— Todd McShay (@McShay13) April 23, 2022
New York already has its left tackle position secure with Andrew Thomas and Cross would be an ideal compliment on the right side.
Pick: Charles Cross (+650)
Odds to Be First Cornerback Drafted
|Derek Stingley Jr.||+310|
This is a slam dunk. Ahmad Gardner might be off the board by pick 3, but if he’s not he won’t last much longer.
Derek Stingley Jr.’s stock is on the rise, but his injury history is enough of a red flag for any team that covets a corner to go with Gardner first.
Pick: Ahmad Gardner (-500)
Odds to Be First Linebacker Drafted
Another longshot opportunity presents itself to us with Quay Walker. The Georgia product wasn’t the most dominant linebacker on the Bulldogs’ championship roster, that was Nakobe Dean, but Walker’s traits are impossible to ignore.
— Georgia Football (@GeorgiaFootball) April 20, 2022
He’s 6-4, 240 and plays like a prototypical edge rusher at linebacker. He’s explosive, smooth, and powerful. If favorite Devin Lloyd starts to slip, don’t be surprised if a team elects to chase Walker’s sky-high ceiling earlier than most NFL Draft projections suggest.
Pick: Quay Walker (+1000)
Odds to Be Second Safety Drafted
Safety is not a deep position in this year’s Draft. Kyle Hamilton is the only player from that position projected to go on Day 1, and he grades out so much higher than any other safety that online sportsbooks aren’t even offering a wager on the first safety on the board.
They are, however, offering up a bet on who the second safety taken will be. Michigan’s Dax Hill is the frontrunner but don’t sleep on another Georgia Bulldog in Lewis Cine. The 22-year-old is rising up mock draft boards thanks to his impressive testing numbers.
we’re Lewis Cine fans on Thursday night, the most true deep safety in this class
vs Alabama in the National Championship: pic.twitter.com/1z7OMzobl4
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 26, 2022
Cine ran a blazing 4.37 40 at 6-2, 199 pounds and showed elite explosiveness with his vertical leap and broad jump numbers. He was the defensive MVP of the College Football National Championship Game and recorded 73 tackles and nine pass breakups this past season.
Pick: Lewis Cine (+200)
Odds to Be First Offensive Player Drafted
This is another spot to target Jameson Williams at a favorable price. Just a few weeks ago Williams was 50-1 to go inside the top-5, and there’s definitely a scenario where a team moves up to get him extremely early.
Jameson Williams receiving last season
⭐️ 78 catches
⭐️ 1,561 yards
⭐️ 15 TDs
⭐️ 143.0 passer rating when targeted
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) April 25, 2022
There are a few organizations with two First Round picks this season, and there’s no sense sitting back and hoping their guy falls to them. Multiple teams drafting in the top-six have expressed a willingness to move, so let’s bank on a receiver-starved team to use its Draft capital to go up and grab Williams.
Pick: Jameson Williams (+2000)
Odds to Be First Special Teams Player Drafted
You should probably never draft a special teams player in the first three or four rounds, but if you’re going to do it, they should all have a resume like the “Punt God” Matt Araiza.
San Diego State Punt God Matt Araiza has hit more 60+ yard punts in a single season than any punter in FBS history… here is number 15!!
Dude has a quad cannon, a calf catapult, a metatarsal mortar tube, a femoral flamethrower, a damn patella pistol.
— Rich Ohrnberger (@ohrnberger) November 7, 2021
The San Diego State product was the nation’s top punter in 2021, setting records for punting average (51.2 yards), 50+ yard punts (39) and 60+ yard punts (18).
Araiza recorded multiple 80-yard punts last year, no that is not a typo, and also kicked a 53-yard field goal.
Pick: Matt Araiza (-225)