Real Madrid’s Karim Benzema controls the ball during a Champions League first-leg quarterfinal soccer match between Chelsea and Real Madrid at Stamford Bridge stadium in London, Wednesday, April 6, 2022. (AP Photo/Kirsty Wigglesworth)

  • New league champion Real heads to face derby rival at 3pm ET on Sunday
  • Atletico needs an upturn in its form as it hunts a UCL qualification place
  • See the odds and best bets for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid – La Liga Round 35 (May 8)

There will be major causes for celebration when the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid derby takes place in Spain on Sunday.

For Real, there is a chance to crow over their city rivals after clinching the La Liga title last weekend – deposing last season’s champions Atletico.

Furthermore, Real will be basking in the glory of reaching the Champions League final after a sensational defeat of Manchester City in midweek.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Odds

Result Moneyline
Atletico Madrid +106
Real Madrid +260
Draw +245

Odds as of May 7 at Barstool Sportsbook

However, there is still serious business for the home team at Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid as it still has to confirm its Champions League qualification place.

Diego Simeone’s Atletico side is in fourth place – and it has the chance to open a six-point gap over fifth-placed Real Betis after it was beaten 2-1 by Barcelona on Saturday.

There has been an acrimonious backdrop to this intense Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid fixture.

Atletico has refused to stage a guard of honor for the visiting new champions when they enter the pitch at the Wanda Metropolitana stadium.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

In spite of Real’s successful week, the oddsmakers at Barstool Sportsbook rate Atletico as the favorite for a home win at + 106.

This, perhaps, reflects the fact that Atletico has more to play for – along with local pride.

Meanwhile, Real is priced more widely at +260. The draw is most attractive at +245. The kick-off is at 3pm ET.

These odds certainly do not reflect the form of Diego Simeone’s Atletico side, however.

It has won only once in its last four La Liga games and is without a win or a goal in its last two outings.

Its tough to find outstanding value here in terms of goals. In what could well be a tight game,  the prospect of three goals is rated at -104 (Ov 2.5).  A four-goal tally is offered at +250 (Ov 3.5).

Meanwhile, the idea of Real winning by two goals or more certainly looks promising at a wide +800 (Asian Handicap -1.5).

Yannick Carrasco Goalscorer Odds

Even so, it was the Belgian wing-back Yannick Carrasco who was the most recent man to hit the net for Atletico – getting both goals in the 2-1 defeat of Espanyol on April 17, with one a penalty.

Searching for value, then, he offers a decent Prop to get on the scoresheet this time around at +400.

The favorite to score in Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid is the visiting team’s hugely prolific forward Karim Benzema.

With 35 goals this season, he is priced at +165 to find the net.

However, Luiz Suarez of Atletico is the all-out favorite to score at +155.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Statistics

18 Wins 25
7 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
59 Goals 73
41 Goals Against 29
105 Yellow Cards 70
7 Red Cards 0
10 Clean Sheets 14

*Statistics from La Liga 2021-22.

Atletico’s most recent date was a depressing 2-0 defeat at Athletic Bilbao on April 30.

This came following an unsatisfying 0-0 draw at home against Granada.

This reflects badly against a run of six straight wins that Atletico put together before the current stuttering four-game spell.

The form book does not back up these odds, either.

There has been no win in Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid for Simeone’s team in the last 12 domestic meetings between the sides – a run stretching back home and away to February 2016.

Moreover, there was a 2-0 win for Real when these sides met in La Liga last December.

Moreover, Real has the best away record in La Liga with 13 wins, two draws and only two defeats.

Clearly, the analysts believe the urgency of Atletico’s cause will outweigh all these statistics.

By contrast, Real has been back at the peak of the game where it believes it belongs.

The title was clinched with a 4-0 win against Espanyol weekend – making it five straight league victories for Ancelotti’s men.

However, the most extraordinary event ahead of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid was the UCL semi-final defeat of Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City last Wednesday.

Projected Line-Ups and Injuries

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup: Oblak; Savic, Gimenez, Felipe; Llorente, De Paul, Koke, Lodi; Carrasco, Suarez, Griezmann

Injuries: Joao Felix, Lemar  Suspended: Hermoso

 Real Madrid possible starting lineup: Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Nacho, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius Jr

 Injuries: Bale, Hazard, Alaba, Isco

City led 4-3 from the first leg. And it was heading into the final when it led 1-0 after 90 minutes of the return leg.

However, Rodrygo then sensationally scored twice for Real in the 90th and 91st minutes.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Pick

Then, subsequently, Karim Benzema scored an extra-time penalty to make it 3-1 to Real Madrid on the night and 6-5 on aggregate.

It now meets Liverpool in the final in Paris on May 28 as it seeks its 14th European Cup/UCL triumph.

Before that, Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid offers Ancelotti to chance to light up another cigar. 

However, given the circumstances, the draw looks most likely and the best value here.

Pick: Draw (+245)

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