Jun 2, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon (29) celebrates his goal in the third period against the Edmonton Oilers of game two of the Western Conference Final of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
- The Colorado Avalanche are -125 road favorites over the Edmonton Oilers in Game 3 of their Stanley Cup Western Conference final series on Saturday, June 4
- Colorado is up 2-0 as the best-of-seven series switches locales to Edmonton
- Below, see the Game 3 Avalanche vs Oilers odds and picks
Stanley Cup logic suggests that all the Colorado Avalanche have done so far is maintain home-ice advantage. History, though, is suggesting that the Edmonton Oilers are in big trouble.
A 4-0 victory in Game 2 of the Western Conference final on home ice at Ball Arena has the Avs up 2-0 in the best-of-seven Western Conference final. Returning home for Game 3 might be a shot in the arm for the Oilers. However, their 1-8 record in previous series when they’ve trailed 2-0 won’t be helping the situation. Colorado has won 15 of 18 series when taking a 2-0 lead.
Oddsmakers are liking the chances of Colorado extending the series lead to 3-0. It’s the Avalanche who are -125 road favorites for Game 3. Edmonton is 4-2 straight up at home in the playoffs.
Avalanche vs Oilers Odds Game 3
|Colorado Avalanche||-1.5 (+200)||O 7 (-110)||-125|
|Edmonton Oilers||+1.5 (-240)||U 7 (-110)||+105|
Odds as of June 3rd at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes.
The puck is set to drop for Game 3 inside Rogers Arena at 8:00 pm ET. Catch the action on TNT or CBC in Canada. The total is set at 7 goals. The total has gone over in five of Edmonton’s last seven games and four of Colorado’s last six games.
At a betting line of -125, the Avs are given an implied probability of victory of 55.56%. A $10 wager on Colorado would return a payout of $18.00.
The @Avalanche own an all-time series record of 15-4 when taking a 2-0 lead in a best-of-seven, including a 12-3 mark when starting at home.#NHLStats: https://t.co/eKwm5QTTFV #StanleyCup https://t.co/8YCZ22ESop
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) June 3, 2022
NHL betting trends show the public is backing Colorado. There’s 58% of the bets placed against the spread on the Avalanche at-1. 5. The moneyline splits are showing 58% of the bets are on the Avalanche at -125. In the total, 58% of the public bets are surprisingly on the under (7).
In the Stanley Cup odds, the Avs have shortened to -115 favorites. At NHL odds of +900, the Oilers are the longest shot on the board among the four teams still in the hunt for Lord Stanley’s mug.
Edmonton vs Colorado Recent Results
|3/21/2022||Colorado 3 Edmonton 2 (OT)||COL||EDM||Under|
|4/9/2022||Edmonton 1 Colorado 2 (SO)||COL||EDM||Under|
|4/22/2022||Edmonton 6 Colorado 5||EDM||EDM||Over|
|5/31/2022||Colorado 8 Edmonton 6||EDM||EDM||Over|
|6/2/2022||Colorado 4 Edmonton 0||COL||COL||Under|
While the Avs stars delivered in Game 2 – Nazem Kadri (three assists), Mikko Rantanen (two points) and one point each from Cale Makar, favored in the Norris Trophy odds, Nathan MacKinnon and Gabriel Landeskog – Colorado completely handcuffed Edmonton sensations Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Evander Kane.
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) June 3, 2022
The Oilers were also shutout 4-0 on the road by the Los Angeles Kings in Game 4 of the opening round. They came home for Game 5 and lost 5-4 in overtime.
Colorado vs Edmonton Injury Report
Colorado goalie Darcy Kuemper left Game 1 with an upper-body injury. He was out for Game 2 and is listed as questionable for Game 3. Forward Andre Burakovsky (lower body) is also questionable. Defensemen Samuel Girard (broken sternum) and Ryan Murray (broken hand) are out for the Avalanche.
per @CCpxpSN, Kailer Yamamoto out with an upper-body injury
— Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) June 3, 2022
The Oilers lost forward Kailer Yamamoto to an upper-body injury during Game 2. He’s out for Game 3. Forward Kyle Turris (upper body) is also out for the Oilers.
Frankie Goes Hollywood
Around the Avalanche dressing room, goalie Pavel Francouz is known as Frankie and Frankie came up big in Game 2. Forced into action by Kuemper’s injury, Francouz improved to 4-0 in the postseason with a 24-save shutout.
Avs fans started “FRANKIE” chants for goalie Pavel Francouz after shutting out the Oilers 🗣 @BR_OpenIce
Colorado takes a 2-0 lead pic.twitter.com/2Zd8W17cdK
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) June 3, 2022
Francouz is 9-1-1 with a 2.19 GAA at home this season. He’s also 2-0 on the road in the postseason after going 6-4 away from home during the regular season.
Avalanche vs Oilers Projected Starting Goalies
It’s been a dismal conference final for Oilers goalie Mike Smith. He was hooked during the 8-6 Game 1 loss. In Game 2, he was beaten for three goals in a span of 2:04.
Mike Smith, folks! https://t.co/k82csdJFOl
— Ryan Gilbert (@RGilbertSOP) June 3, 2022
Smith’s numbers for the series are showing a 6.98 GAA and an .846 save percentage.
Oilers vs Avalanche Game 3 Prediction
Edmonton has to win Game 3. It’s as simple as that. It’s going to be hard enough beating the Avs in four of the next five games. The Oilers are never winning four straight against Colorado.
Fortunately, three has proven to be a lucky number for Edmonton. The Oilers are 2-0 in Game 3 and display a goal difference of 12-3.
Pick: Edmonton Oilers ML (+105)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.