New York Mets run celebration

May 2, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets left fielder Mark Canha (19) celebrates his home run with designated hitter Pete Alonso (20) during the third inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Braves vs Mets odds favor New York as -120 moneyline favorites on Wednesday (May 4, 1:10 pm ET)
  • Atlanta will send Ian Anderson to the mound (2-1, 4.66 ERA), while New York will counter with Tylor Megill (4-0, 1.93 ERA)
  • Read below for the Braves vs Mets odds, analysis and betting prediction

The New York Mets swept a double-header against the defending champion Atlanta Braves on Tuesday, and will now look to pick up their eighth straight series victory when the two teams close out their four game set on Wednesday afternoon.

Braves vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Atlanta Braves +100 +1.5 (-210) O 7 (-115)
New York Mets -120 -1.5 (+175) U 7 (-105)

Odds as of May 3rd at Caesars Sportsbook.

The Mets are currently -120 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 7 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm ET at Citi Field in Queens, NY, with 63 degree temperatures and a risk of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Atlanta vs New York Probable Pitchers

Both of these clubs boast top-seven price tags in the World Series odds, with New York now the second shortest priced team after the Dodgers.

The Mets will send Tylor Megill to the mound on Wednesday, looking for his fifth straight win. Megill has been nothing short of spectacular in the early going, posting a tidy 1.93 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP.

The 26-year-old is fresh off 5 innings of shutout ball versus the Phillies, in a contest where New York used five pitchers to toss the first no-hitter of the season.

It was Megill’s third start out of five in which he didn’t surrender a run, and he’s allowed just six enemy hitters to cross the plate in 28 innings of work. His elite start has earned him top-12 consideration in the NL Cy Young odds, and he has a strong track record versus the defending champs.

Megill was 1-0 in four starts against the Braves in 2021, posting a 2.75 ERA, while holding them to a .192 batting average.

Ian Anderson vs Tylor Megill

2-1 Record 4-0
4.66 ERA 1.93
1.29 WHIP 0.86
.194 OBA .182
1.5 SO/W Ratio 4.5

Atlanta will counter with Ian Anderson, who’s trending up. The 24-year-old has rebounded from a disastrous opening outing with three quality performances, most recently against Texas. Anderson threw 6 innings of two-run ball versus the Rangers, allowing just three hits.

He’s now yielded only six runs over his past 16.2 innings of work, and is starting to look like the pitcher who dominated last postseason. Anderson was 2-0 in four playoff starts, with a 1.59 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP.

He was 1-1 in three starts against the Mets last year, posting a 3.31 ERA, while yielding a .213 batting average.

Braves vs Mets Betting Analysis

New York entered play on Tuesday ranked first in MLB in hits, second in average, fifth in OPS and ninth in runs per game. That’s helped them win 15 of their past 21 contests, and the impressive offensive numbers have come thanks to a balanced attack.

Francisco Lindor is finally starting to live up to his mega contract, while Jeff McNeil is among the league leaders in average (.362), and six players have reached double-digit runs.

The pitching staff has the sixth best ERA in baseball, while Mets relievers have stranded 75% of opposing base runners.

The Braves on the other hand, have underwhelmed offensively. They entered play on Tuesday ranked bottom-11 in runs, and below league average in average and OBP. The offense should start reaping the benefits of Ronald Acuna Jr. shortly however, as the former leading NL MVP odds candidate has now been back for a week after undergoing knee surgery last year.

Atlanta’s pitching and defensive numbers have been disappointing as well. Only six teams allow more runs per game than the Braves, while the team staff has a bottom-eight ERA.

ATL vs NYM Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
5/3/22 Braves Mets NYM, 3-0
5/3/22 Braves Mets NYM, 5-4
5/2/22 Braves Mets ATL, 5-2
10/3/21 Mets Braves ATL, 5-0
10/2/21 Mets Braves ATL, 6-5
10/1/21 Mets Braves NYM, 4-3
7/29/21 Braves Mets ATL, 6-3
7/28/21 Braves Mets NYM, 2-1
7/27/21 Braves Mets ATL, 12-5
7/26/21 Braves Mets NYM, 1-0

Braves vs Mets Pick

Atlanta’s bats were held silent in the night cap of Tuesday’s double-header as New York recorded its MLB-best sixth shutout of the season. The Mets bullpen threw four innings of shutout ball over Tuesday’s two games and should give New York backers confidence if Megill surprisingly struggles.

At 18-8, the Mets own the second best record in baseball and boast the third best run differential (+38). They’re 9-4 against divisional opponents, and 11-5 combined versus the Braves, Phillies, Cardinals and Giants, four of the eight shortest priced NL teams in the World Series odds.

Given the form of Megill and their offensive prowess versus an Atlanta team clearly suffering from a championship hangover, it makes sense to roll with New York again on Wednesday.

Pick: New York Mets Moneyline (-120)

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