Milwaukee Brewers’ Willy Adames hits a run-scoring single off Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Saturday, April 23, 2022, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
- The Phillies are -157 home favorites over the Brewers on Sunday night
- Lefty Eric Lauer (1-0, 3.48) will start for Milwaukee against Aaron Nola (1-2, 5.52)
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
The Milwaukee Brewers will try to stay hot when they the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:08 p.m. ET Sunday at Citizens Bank Park.
The Brewers (9-6/4-4 road) have won five of their last six games, including beating the Phillies 5-3 on Saturday to even the three-game series at a game apiece. The Phillies (6-9/4-4 home) had lost four of their last six.
Brewers vs Phillies Odds
|Milwaukee Brewers||+147||+1.5 (-140)||Over 8 (+100)|
|Philadelphia Phillies||-157||-1.5 (+120)||Under 8 (-120)|
Odds as of April 24th at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Phillies are -157 favorites in a game that will be televised by ESPN, giving them a 61.09% implied win probability. Gametime temperature is expected to be 62 degrees while mostly cloudy and wind from the east at 5 mph.
The World Series odds are +1400 for the Brewers and +2200 for the Phillies.
Left-hander Eric Lauer (1-0, 3.48) will pitch for the Brewers against Aaron Nola (1-2, 5.52). Both will be starting on five days of rest.
Lauer vs Nola
Lauer is coming off a strong outing Monday when he beat the Pittsburgh Pirates at home. He allowed one run and five hits in six innings with five strikeouts and one walk.
Lauer is 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies and 0-1 with a 3.00 ERAin his lone appearance at Citizens Bank Park. However, Lauer’s numbers at CBP are skewed as he gave up six runs in six innings, four unearned.
— Bally Sports Wisconsin (@BallySportWI) April 19, 2022
This will be Lauer’s second road start of the year after he allowed four runs (three earned) in 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the Baltimore Orioles on April 12 in his season debut. Both of Lauer’s starts have been at night.
Reigning National League MVP Bryce Harper is 3 for 8 with a home run off Lauer. J.T. Realmuto, though, is 1 for 11 (.091) with four strikeouts.
Nola pitched well in a losing effort his last time out, giving up two runs and six hits in 5.1 innings Monday against the Rockies in Colorado. He struck out four and walked one.
Nola, whose NL Cy Young odds are +3000 has fared well against the Brewers with a 4-1 record with a 3.05 ERA in eight starts. He is 1-1 with a 6.75 in two starts at home this season and Monday’s outing was his first on the road.
#Phillies Aaron Nola
2022 Knuckle Curve Quality ⭐️
5.43 QOPA (Top 7% MLB) ✅
— MLB Quality of Pitch (@qopbaseball) April 19, 2022
Hunter Renfroe is 5 for 11 (.455) with two doubles against Nola and Christian Yelich is 9 for 23 (.391) with a double, triple and home run. Jace Peterson is just 1 for 10 (.100).
Brewers vs Phillies Betting Outlook
Willy Adames swiped home on the back end of a double steal to cap a four-run fifth inning as the Brewers overcame a 3-0 deficit to beat the Phillies on Saturday.
Adames had two hits and Renfroe went 3 for 4 with a double and home run. Renfroe has two doubles, two homers, three RBIs and four runs scored in his last four games.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) April 23, 2022
The Brewers have a 2.32 ERA in the last seven games and their pitchers have 66 strikeouts in 62 innings during that span.
Odubel Herrera had two hits for the Phillies. Harper extended his hitting streak to seven games, going 10 for 29 (.345) with six RBIs in that stretch.
Phillies shortstop Didi Gregorius (hand) missed his third straight game and is questionable for Sunday.
A great recovery by Didi Gregorius, but the throw was not hard enough to 1st base. Nothing you can do about that pic.twitter.com/Cfb19oIyJR
— Brodes Media (@BrodesMedia) April 17, 2022
The teams are meeting for the first time in 2022 this weekend after the Phillies won five of seven from the Brewers last year.
Brewers vs Phillies Last 10 Games
|Date||Home Team||Away Team||Score|
Brewers vs Phillies Prediction
Some scouts believe Lauer is poised for a breakthrough in his sixth major league season. Coming off a strong performance, he makes the Brewers an enticing underdog.
Pick: Brewers moneyline +147
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.