Paul Goldschmidt

Apr 29, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (46) kneels down in between pitches against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the eighth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Cardinals are -165 home favorites over the Diamondbacks on Saturday, April 30
  • Merrill Kelly (1-1, 1.69) with start for Arizona against Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

In a Saturday matinee, the Arizona Diamondbacks visit the St. Louis Cardinals at 2:15 p.m. ET at Busch Stadium.

The Diamondbacks (9-12/4-5 road) beat the Cardinals 6-2 on Friday night to win for the third time in their last four games while evening the four-game series at one game apiece. The Cardinals (11-8/5-4 home) had lost four of their last six.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +140 +1.5 (-150) Over 7.5 (-110)
St. Louis Cardinals -165 -1.5 (+125) Over 7.5 (-110)

Odds as of April 29th at BetMGM.

The Cardinals are -165 favorites on the moneyline, giving them a 62.26% implied win probability.

This game has a good chance of being delayed as thunderstorms are forecast for the early afternoon. The high temperature is expected to be 77 degrees with winds from the south at 13-16 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

The Cardinals’ World Series odds are +2500 while the Diamondbacks’ are +2500.

Probable Pitchers

Merrill Kelly (1-1, 1.69) with start for the Diamondbacks and face Miles Mikolas (1-0, 1.21). Both will be working on four days of rest.

Kelly vs Mikolas

1-1 Record 1-0
1.69 ERA 1.21
3.47 xERA 2.60
1.27 WHIP 0.94
3.14 SO/W 4.50

Kelly took his first loss of the season Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers at home, giving up three runs on seven hits in six innings with four strikeouts and two walks.

Kelly is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Cardinals. In his lone appearance at Busch Stadium, Kelly allowed four runs (one earned) in five innings of a loss.

This will be Kelly’s second road start of the season. He got his lone win on April 20 at Washington when he limited the Nationals to one run in five innings. Kelly’s only daytime start resulted in a no-decision on April 13 against the visiting Houston Astros when he allowed one run in 5.1 innings.

The Cardinals’ Nolan Arenado is 3 for 7 against Kelly with a double and a home run.

Mikolas took a tough no-decision Monday against the New York Mets as he pitched seven shutout innings. He gave up four hits and one walk and struck out five.

Mikolas has a win in his only career decision against the Diamondbacks to go with a 2.61 ERA in three games (one start). Fitting perhaps that a guy who once ate a lizard does well against the Snakes.

In two home starts this season, Mikolas is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA. He is 1-0 with a 3.48 in three starts during the day.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Betting Outlook

Daulton Varsho had two hits, including an RBI double, on Friday night in the Diamondbacks’ victory.

Paul Goldschmidt homered but the Cardinals were held to just five hits. The slugging first baseman is listed at +7500 in the latest NL MVP odds.

Diamondbacks closer Mark Melancon was placed on the injured list before the game for undisclosed reasons. That often means that a player has entered the COVID-19 health and safety protocols.

This is the first of two series between the team this season. Last year, the Cardinals won six of seven games against the Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/30/21 Cardinals Diamondbacks STL, 7-4
6/29/21 Cardinals Diamondbacks STL, 3-2
6/28/21 Cardinals Diamondbacks STL, 7-1
5/30/21 Diamondbacks Cardinals ARI, 9-2
5/29/21 Diamondbacks Cardinals STL, 7-4
5/28/21 Diamondbacks Cardinals STL, 8-6
5/27/21 Diamondbacks Cardinals STL, 5-4
9/25/19 Diamondbacks Cardinals ARI, 9-7
9/24/19 Diamondbacks Cardinals ARI, 3-2
9/23/19 Diamondbacks Cardinals STL, 9-7

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction

This is an interesting matchup between two pitchers off to fine starts. However, the peripheral stats and advanced metrics give Mikolas the edge.

Pick: Cardinals ML -165

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