TOP NOTCH SPORTS PICKS
If you have been involved with sports betting for several years or just getting started I am sure you have seen companies advertising their pick services in your local newspaper, online or even on television. A lot of these ads are offering guaranteed games or claim winning rates of 80% and above. If you see these types of services, you should run in my personal opinion. I don’t care what they say, No One wins 80% – 90% of their games.
Does that mean that you can’t make money with sports betting? In short the answer is No, it is definitely possible to make substantial profits from sports betting, but you need to be realistic. If you have the proper discipline, manage your bankroll and following a winning sports betting system then creating a substantial passive income from betting on sports can be a reality. Knowing the magic # is the key.
So what is the magic #? The answer is 52.4%.If we use the most popular sports to bet on like NFL and NBA a normal bet would consist of betting against the spread with odds of 11/10 meaning that you would have to wager $110 to win back $100. What this means is that you would only have to win 52.4% of your bets to actually break even.Although hitting 80% plus winners is virtually impossible over the long haul, the good news is that anything above 52.4% will be profitable. Although winning 55% doesn’t sound that exciting, you can experience some really substantial returns each month.
Let’s use a 55% win rate and wagering on 2 games each day for this example. Here is what the results would look like after one month:
Win Rate 55%
# of Wagers 60 games (2 per day X 30 days)
# Wins 33
# Losses 27
Minus 10% Vig* 2.7
Total Wins: 3.3
*Vig is the % that the online sports books keep for accepting your wagers. Usually 10%
So what does this mean? Well with these numbers a $100 bettor would be up $330 profit after the month and a $1,000 bettor would be up $3,300. Not bad for a few minutes work each day, but let’s look at what this means in ROIpercentage (Return on Investment).
What I personally use and recommend is that if you are going to be flat betting or making the same size wager on each game then you should be using no more than 5% of your total bankroll. So if you have a total of $1,000 then you should be wager $50 per game. By sticking with the same numbers as the example above of +3.3 games this would actually be a gain of $165 and a return of 16.5% on your money in just 1 month. Compounding that over a full 12 months translates into over a 600 percent return on your money. I don’t know about you, but these are some incredible returns. Compare this to other investments like the stock market or the bank and you can clearly see that sports betting is a viable option even using a conservative example. Now imagine a 56% win rate or even 60 percentage.