Leicester vs Roma

Jul 31, 2018; Dallas, TX, USA; AS Roma forward Stephan El Shaarawy (92) in action during the match against FC Barcelona in an International Champions Cup soccer match at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

  • Leicester City hosts Roma in the first leg of their Conference League semifinal on April 28th at 3:00 pm ET. Leicester City are +133 moneyline favorites
  • The Foxes have took down the likes of Rennes and PSV Eindhoven to reach this stage, while Roma had the easier path of Vitesse and Bodø/Glimt
  • Get the Leicester City vs Roma odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

The Conference League, Europe’s third-tier competition, has been whittled down to its final four clubs. Both first leg, semifinal matches take place on Thursday afternoon, but Leicester City vs Roma is the one to keep your eye on.

Firstly, it is fair to say that Leicester City have been more than disappointing this season. In fact, after a fifth-place finish and FA Cup victory last season, the Foxes now find themselves in tenth place of the English top flight. Now, they are spurred on by the club’s first ever European semifinal, and a new trophy could keep Brendan Rodgers and this crop of players together.

Conversely, Jose Mourinho’s Roma side are in fifth place domestically. It has been a bit of a tumultuous season for Roma with many volatile swings in form. Although, after two winless outings against Napoli and Inter, Roma should be warmed up and ready for battle at the King Power Stadium.

Leicester City vs Roma Odds

Matchup Moneyline Odds
Leicester City +133
Roma +215
Draw +230

Odds as of Apr 27th at Barstool Sportsbook

If you’re new to betting on this sport, then take a look at our How to Bet on Soccer page.

The moneyline narrowly favors the Foxes of Leicester with odds of +133. Brendan Rodgers’ side also has the best odds to go on and win the inaugural competition at +225.

Over/Under and Spread

In addition, a more defensive affair is predicted as the first leg under is set at 2.5 total goals and has odds of -132. However, the over on 2.5 goals has better value at +105, considering this bet has hit in 70% of their last ten combined matches across all competitions.

Also, there is some good value in getting the draw no bet in favor of Roma at +128. Leicester City are winless in their last three matches and the Giallorossi have traveled well in the Conference League this season. Apart from two blips against Bodø/Glimt, they won four away matches on an aggregate score of 9-3.

Leicester City vs Roma Prediction

All in all, Leicester City have been playing some really uninspiring football lately. Losing to Newcastle at St. James park is no embarrassment given the form they are on under Eddie Howe. But, seeing successive stalemates against the likes of Everton and Aston Villa is another story.

Leicester City vs Roma Domestic League Statistics

1.57 Goals per game 1.62
1.30 Expected goals per game 1.66
1.59 Goals allowed per game 1.18
1.65 Expected goals allowed per game 1.03
51.1% Possession % 51.4%
81.1% Passing Accuracy % 83.0%
11.4 Shots per game 15.2

Their set piece defending has not improved all season, and their only point of optimism is the return of Jamie Vardy. While a European Vardy party is in the cards, it is just hard not to favor Roma here.

They have a slew of former Premier League talents, including Chris Smalling, Henrik Mkhitaryan, Tammy Abraham and Ainsley Maitland-Niles. There is no doubt that Abraham will be looking to impress as well, with his 29 goal involvements, ahead of a potential move to Arsenal.

Mourinho’s Record vs the Foxes

One thing to point out in this match is that Jose Mourinho has a fantastic record against Leicester City. His record in 11 games versus the English side is 8-1-2.

Moreover, his only loss away to the King Power Stadium was in 2015/16 when he was in charge of Chelsea.

Nonetheless, the point being is that the battle on the touchline is going to be equally as intriguing as the one on the pitch. Ultimately, a win over these two legs and victory in the final could really propel either of these sides on for next year.

Leicester City vs Roma Projected Lineups and Injuries

Leicester City vs Roma Projected Lineup: Schmeichel, Castagne, Söyüncü, Fofana, Pereira, Mendy, Tielemans, Lookman, Dewsbury-Hall, Maddison, Vardy

Leicester City Injuries & Suspensions: Vardy (questionable), Ndidi, & Ward

Roma Projected Lineup: Patricio, Zalewski, Ibanez, Smalling, Mancini, Karsdorp, Veretout, Mkhitaryan, Shaarawy, Pellegrini, Abraham

Roma Injuries & Suspensions: Cristante

Leicester City vs Roma Best Bet

Overall, the best bet for this match is the Roma ‘draw no bet’ with odds of +128. This means that your bet will win if Roma wins the match, and if they draw, you’ll receive a refund. A Leicester win, would result in your bet losing.

Pick: Roma draw no bet (+128)

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