Luka Doncic driving against defender

May 2, 2022; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) drives against Phoenix Suns forward Mikal Bridges (25) during the second half of game one of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Suns are 6-point home favorites over the Mavericks in Game 2 of their NBA Western Conference semifinal series on Wednesday, May 4
  • Phoenix held off Dallas and the spread on Monday despite a 45-point effort from Luka Doncic
  • See the Mavericks vs Suns odds and why the over may rise again on Wednesday

The Dallas Mavericks seem to know how to make things interesting. After the first three quarters of Game 1 looked like a blowout was about to commence, Luka Doncic and company rallied just enough to put the spread in doubt.

Barely, and we mean barely, Phoenix held off Dallas to win 121-114.

Arizona online sportsbooks are staying around the same line when it comes to the Phoenix Suns. Despite that fourth quarter run by Dallas, the books are keeping Phoenix right around the same number as a home favorite once again.

They are setting Phoenix as a 6-point home favorite over Dallas for this pivotal Game 2 with Phoenix up 1-0. The Suns are 7-7 against the spread over their past 14 contests.

Mavericks vs Suns Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Dallas Mavericks +205 +6 (-110) O 216 (-110)
Phoenix Suns -255 -6 (-110) U 216 (-110)

Odds as of May 3rd at DraftKings Sportsbook.

The Suns Had Paul and Booker Switch Up

A few wins in a row have vaulted Phoenix back to the top of the NBA Western Conference odds. That number could change once again like it did in the last round.

Also, the Phoenix Suns remain are now a +100 favorite in terms of the Western Conference pecking order. Defending conference champion Phoenix was at +220 late in the first round. Series wins and losses do have a slight effect but three game winning streaks tend to help.

It does look like Devin Booker is back to normal. His shooting was off in Game 1 at just 35% but the rest of Phoenix picked up the slack, including a 25-point effort from Deandre Ayton and a clutch jumper from Chris Paul sealed the deal.

Paul did have just three assists but still had 19 points on 7-of-13 shooting. Phoenix ran a bit of a different approach and it worked. Booker had eight assists and nine rebounds in all while even feeding Paul a few times. Dallas did not have many answers for this style of attack.

Deandre Ayton shot well once again

Ayton was the most consistent player on the floor for Phoenix in Game 1. He was 12-for-20 from the field and had 25 points in the opener.

The center played 33 minutes while committing just one foul.  He only had eight rebounds but his interior presence wreaked havoc as no Dallas forward or center could slow Phoenix down when it came to the paint.

There were few concerns here with Ayton’s defense, even though he only blocked one shot. He did not have to worry too much on the other end of the floor and Phoenix was a +10 when Ayton was on the court. Dallas just does not have what New Orleans had in the 3-4-5 slots. It’s that simple.

Now, will there be carryover from the fourth quarter of Game 1? Doncic may have something to say about that.

Dallas Needs to Give Luka Doncic a Hand or Two

Luka Doncic did Doncic type things on Monday night. It got to the point where Phoenix and Monty Williams were probably thankful the game ended when it did. In all, the guard went for 45 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists. Doncic even got to the foul line 14 times as he sliced through the Phoenix defense early and often.

Unfortunately for Dallas, Maxi Kleber scored 19 points but was an albatross defensively as Phoenix players repeatedly attacked the Dallas frontcourt for easy baskets.

Suns vs Mavericks Prediction

Phoenix has now won 10 straight games against the Mavericks. Now, the Suns are 8-2 as a favorite in those 10 games. The under has split an even 5-5 in that span.

However, one thing is clear. Phoenix is playing a different style, almost like the Mike D’Antoni days against Dallas. They shot 11-for-28 from distance and 50.5% overall. That may just continue in Game 2.

This game feels like it could go easily over again. Expecting another Game 1 may be foolhardy but Dallas and Phoenix had room for more offense, as crazy as it sounds.

Pick: Over 216 (-110)

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