Valentin Castellanos

New York City FC forward Valentin Castellanos (11) scores a penalty kick in the second half of an MLS soccer match against Real Salt Lake at Yankee Stadium, Sunday, April 17, 2022, in New York. (AP Photo/Eduardo Munoz Alvarez)

  • After four goals last weekend, Valentin Castellanos is a comfortable -162 favorite to find the net again here
  • Reigning Golden Boot winner among many New York City players seemingly with a decent chance of scoring
  • Read on for a look at a selection of player odds for today’s game between New York City and Toronto FC

Having already met once this season, just three weeks ago, New York City and Toronto FC lock horns again on Sunday, April 24th. The reigning MLS Cup champions will likely have a touch of revenge on their minds after falling 2-1 north of the border in Toronto, with the chance to extend some warm-ish hospitality to their Canadian neighbor when they welcome it to Citi Field as the final matchup of the MLS Week 8 fixtures.

New York City vs Toronto FC Player Props

Player Odds To Score Odds To Get An Assist Odds To Get Booked
Valentin Castellanos (NYC) -162 +200 +200
Heber (NYC) +104 N/A N/A
Thiago Andrade (NYC) +143 N/A N/A
Talles Bacelar Martins (NYC) +143 N/A N/A
Maximiliano Moralez (NYC) +163 N/A N/A
Santiago Rodriguez (NYC) +220 +325 N/A
Jesus Jimenez (TFC) +285 +450 N/A
Jordan Perruzza (TFC) +320 N/A N/A
Keaton Parks (NYC) +320 N/A +375
Alejandro Pozuelo (TFC) +390 +400 +450
Alfredo Morales (NYC) +460 +275 +325
Alexander Callens (NYC) +460 N/A N/A
Jacob Shaffelburg (TFC) +480 +450 N/A
Jahkelle Marshall-Rutty (TFC) +600 N/A N/A
Jayden Nelson (TFC) +600 N/A N/A
Kosi Thompson (TFC) +650 N/A N/A
Jonathan Osorio (TFC) +650 N/A N/A
Lucas Petrasso (TFC) +700 N/A N/A
Malte Amundsen (NYC) +800 N/A N/A
Michael Bradley (TFC) +900 N/A +375

Odds as of April 24th at BarStool Sportsbook

In the MLS odds, Valentin Castellanos is odds on to score at -162, while Toronto’s Michael Bradley is unfancied at +900.

Can Tati Stay Hot?

Up until last weekend, reigning Golden Boot winner Valentin ‘Tati’ Castellanos had reserved his 2022 scoring touch for the CONCACAF Champions League, scoring four times in the continental tournament but none in MLS.

That all changed in a hurry on April 17, as the Argentine scored four times in a 6-0 win over Real Salt Lake to push him right back into the scoring race.

With his range reacquired, expect that scoring touch to continue on Sunday. It’s not like he wasn’t getting chances, with Castellanos having generated 14 shots before last weekend, although some of those were of the harder variety, with his total xG in the first five games just 1.6.

Pick: Castellanos to score (-162)

Expect Oso To Find Net

The 2022 vintage Toronto FC – at least until Lorenzo Insigne arrives this summer – will never be confused with an offensive juggernaut, having scored just 11 times in seven games. Worse yet, it shouldn’t even be that high, with the team far outperforming its paltry 6.1 xG number, the lowest in the entire Eastern Conference.

Consequently, there is some surprising value to be found when it comes to possible TFC goal scorers. While newcomer Jesus Jimenez rightly takes most of the plaudits after scoring four times so far, he is understandably the favorite among Toronto players to grab a goal here at +285.

But for anyone looking for better value, might I suggest Jonathan Osorio? Set to play his 300th game for the club on Sunday, the Canadian international has already scored twice this season, and has a knack for scoring big goals in big games, such as his goal for Canada against Mexico at the Azteca in World Cup qualifying.

Back him to grab a goal against the defending MLS champs here.

Pick: Osorio to score (+650)

Poz To Dish Up

The 2020 MLS MVP has had something of a slow start after a 2021 to forget when he was dealing with family issues back in his native Spain. Despite recording just one assist so far, Alejandro Pozuelo is still the playmaker that Toronto looks to to make the offensive system tick.

But after averaging 0.40 assists per 90 in his MVP-winning season, the playmaker is more than capable of elevating both his game and those of players around him, so look for the former Real Betis man to double his assist total here on Sunday.

Pick: Pozuelo to pick up an assist (+400)

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