Austin Riley running bases

May 14, 2022; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves third baseman Austin Riley (27) runs after hitting a double to drive in a run against the San Diego Padres during the eighth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

  • The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves face off at Truist Park on Sunday, May 15th
  • San Diego is jockeying for the top spot the NL West, while the defending World Series champions are hovering around .500
  • Read below for the Padres vs Braves odds and betting preview

The San Diego Padres (21-13) face the Atlanta Braves (16-18) on Sunday at Truist Park. The series finale has a scheduled first pitch of 11:35am ET. The Friars will send Joe Musgrove to the hill, while the home team counters with Kyle Wright.

Atlanta is a home favorite in this one and started the season as -113 favorites to win the NL East — but now trails New York (-190) in division odds at +250.

Meantime, the Padres have seen their odds to take the NL West shorten slightly, moving from +425 at the start of the season to +400 now. Melvin’s club is expected to win 87.5 games, while the Braves are projected to win 90.5 in expected victory totals.

Padres vs Braves Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
San Diego Padres +1.5 (-200) +100 Ov 8 (-115)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+165) -120 Un 8 (-105)

Odds as of May 14th at BetMGM

San Diego vs Atlanta: Probable Pitchers

After turning in the first no-hitter in Padres franchise history early last season, Musgrove is enjoying an utterly stellar 2022 campaign so far. San Diego is 6-0 in his starts — with all six of them being of the quality vintage.

He went seven innings in his most recent outing on Sunday against the Marlins (tossing a season-high 108 pitches), allowing five hits, two earned runs and a walk while striking out eight in a 3-2 win.

Musgrove, who reportedly turned down an eight-year, $90 million extension recently with his hometown club, has been dealing this season. His 13.67 strikeout-to-walk ratio is third-best in all of baseball and his 0.90 WHIP is seventh-best in MLB.

Like Musgrove, Wright had been a quality start machine prior to his last appearance against the Red Sox on Tuesday. The 26-year-old had gone at least six innings while allowing three earned runs or less in four of his five starts — with the Bravos going 4-1 in those outings. But a six-run second inning by Boston undid those good vibes, as the reigning champs lost 9-4.

After Atlanta was victorious in his first four starts (with Wright earning a win in three of those outings), the team’s first-round pick from 2017 has lost two straight. Wright saw his ERA go from 1.74 to 3.03 in the wake of the Red Sox game, in which he allowed six earned runs on seven hits and four walks over 4.2 innings.

Musgrove vs Wright Stats

4-0 Record 3-2
2.08 ERA 3.03
2.46 xERA 3.30
27.2% K% 28.1%

Padres vs Braves Betting Outlook

Atlanta owns a slight 6-4 edge over San Diego in head-to-head matchups between these two clubs in their last 10 meetings. Brian Snitker’s club squeaked past San Diego on Saturday, Marcell Ozuna homered and Austin Riley hit a tiebreaking double to key a four-run eighth inning rally that helped the Bravos bounce back from an 11-6 defeat on Friday in the series opener.

Meanwhile ,the Pads have been keyed by Eric Hosmer (.364/.427/.534) and Manny Machado (.359/.439/.586) so far. The pair have combined for 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 47 RBI in the first month-plus of the 2022 campaign.

The Braves have +1200 odds to win the Fall Classic, while the Padres own +1700 odds in the World Series odds.

San Diego vs Atlanta Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/14/22 Braves Padres ATL, 6-5
5/13/22 Braves Padres SD, 11-6
4/17/22 Padres Braves SD, 2-1
4/16/22 Padres Braves ATL, 5-2
4/15/22 Padres Braves ATL, 5-2
4/14/22 Padres Braves  SD, 12-1
9/26/21 Padres Braves ATL, 4-3
9/25/21 Padres Braves ATL, 10-8
9/24/21 Padres Braves ATL, 4-0
7/21/21 Braves Padres SD, 6-5

Padres vs Braves Prediction

With Ronald Acuna Jr likely missing a fourth straight game with a sore grain and a pair of stud starters going, this one figures to be low scoring.

The teams combined to score 28 runs in the first two, but Musgrove is 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta, while Wright is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA in one previous appearance against the Padres. The rubber game has the feel of a pitchers duel.

Pick: Under 8 (-105)

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