Pittsburgh Penguins goaltender Louis Domingue celebrates with center Sidney Crosby

May 7, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins goaltender Louis Domingue (70) and center Sidney Crosby (87) celebrate after defeating the New York Rangers in game three of the first round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at PPG Paints Arena. The Penguins won 7-4. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

  • The New York Rangers are -115 road favorites over the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 4 of their Stanley Cup Eastern Conference opening-round series on Monday, May 9
  • Pittsburgh is leading the best-of-seven set 2-1
  • Below, see the Game 4 Rangers vs Penguins odds and best bet

Logic and the the form charts are going out the window in this first-round Stanley Cup series between the Pittsburgh Penguins and New York Rangers.

Down to their third-string goalie, as the Penguins were edging the Rangers 5-4 in Game 3 of this best-of-seven set, it wasn’t career minor leaguer Louis Domingue of the Penguins who was chased from the net. No, it was Rangers goalie Igor Shesterkin, the -1750 favorite in the Vezina Trophy odds, who was grabbing some bench after allowing four first-period goals.

Oddsmakers are anticipating that Shesterkin and the Rangers will be regrouping for Game 4. New York is set as the slight -115 road favorite for Monday’s contest. The Penguins are 5-2 all-time in playoff series against the Rangers.

Rangers vs Penguins Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
New York Rangers -1.5 (+210) O 6 (-110) -115
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-260) U 6 (-110) -105

Odds as of May 8th at Caesars Sportsbook.

The puck will drop at 7:00 pm ET on Monday, May 9, at PPG Paints Arena. Tune in to ESPN for the broadcast.

New York vs Pittsburgh NHL Betting Trends

The implied probability of victory for Game 4 displays the tightness of this season. The Rangers are given a 51-49% edge over the Pens.

In terms of the NHL betting trends, there are also mixed signals. Public betting shows that 83% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Penguins at +1.5. However, the moneyline splits display that 61% of the bets are on the Rangers at -115 odds. Surprisingly, 61% of the public bets are on the Under (6) even though all three games have gone over that total.

Rangers center Andrew Copp, a trade-deadline addition from Winnipeg, has scored in
each game of the series. He tallied three times in 34 playoff games for the Jets.

Rangers vs Penguins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
3/29/2022 Pittsburgh 2 New York Rangers 3 NYR NYR Under
4/7/2022 New York Rangers 3 Pittsburgh 0 NYR NYR Under
5/3/2022 New York Rangers 3 Pittsburgh 4 (OT) PGH PGH Over
5/5/2022 New  York Rangers 5 Pittsburgh 2 NYR NYR Over
5/7/2022 Pittsburgh 7 New York Rangers 4 PGH PGH Over

Pittsburgh has won three of its past four home playoff games against the Rangers and six of the last seven home games overall against the Broadway Blueshirts.

Penguins forward Bryan Rust has seven points in seven career playoff games against the Rangers. Captain Sidney Crosby’s 20 assists are the most any NHL player has recorded in the postseason against the Rangers.

NY Rangers vs Pittsburgh Injury Report

The Penguins welcomed back forward Jason Zucker for Game 3. He was missing the first two games due to a lower-body injury. Goalies Tristan Jarry (lower-body) and Casey DeSmith (core muscle surgery) are out. Brian Dumoulin has missed the past two games with an undisclosed injury.

New York is missing forwards Sammy Blais (lower-body), Tyler Motte (upper-body) and Barclay Goodrow (lower-body) and defenseman Ryan Lindgren (lower-body).

Shesterkin Not Looking Like Himself

Perhaps it’s the wear and tear of playing a career-high 56 games. Maybe he’s feeling the stress of being the go-to-goalie in his first Stanley Cup series. Whatever the case, Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin is clearly off his game. His 3.23 playoff GAA is more than a goal above his 2.07 regular-season number.

Pittsburgh has been going to and succeeding in getting the puck through Shesterkin’s five hole. He allowed only seven goals between the pads during the regular season. That could be an indication that he’s a tired goalie.

Rangers vs Penguins Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Rangers Igor Shesterkin 1-1 .928 3.23
Penguins Louis Domingue 2-1 .903 4.03

Sure, there’s a romance to the story of Penguins goalie Louis Domingue. He’s only playing due to injuries to Tristan Jarry and Casey DeSmith. In nine pro seasons, the Pens are Domingue’s 13th team.

However, beyond the romantic element is the statistical reality. Domingue’s postseason GAA is 4.03. That’s not going to be conducive to success over the long haul. And there’s no other other option between the pipes beyond him.

Rangers vs Penguins Game 4 Prediction

The Rangers are 8-2 straight up in their last 10 road games. They haven’t dropped consecutive games away from home since early March.

Look for Shesterkin to be back on his game and for the Rangers to continue to exploit the weaknesses of the Penguins in their own end.

Goals have proven to be plentiful in this series, so the over of 6 is probably also worthy of consideration. Pittsburgh is scoring 4.33 goals per game, while the Rangers are potting 4.00 gpg.

Pick: New York Rangers ML  (-115)

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