Kevin Kiermaier sliding back to first base on a pickoff attempt.

Tampa Bay Rays’ Kevin Kiermaier gets back to first base safely on a pickoff attempt by Boston Red Sox relief pitcher Austin Davis during the fifth inning of a baseball game, Saturday, April 23, 2022, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (AP Photo/Phelan M. Ebenhack)

  • The Rays are -160 home favorites over the Red Sox on Saturday
  • In a matchup of lefties, Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan (0-1, 2.40) faces Rich Hill (0-1, 7.00)
  • A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

In the rubber game of a three-game set, the Boston Red Sox visit the Tampa Bay Rays at 1:10 p.m. Sunday at Tropicana Field.

The Rays (8-7/5-4 home) won a wild 3-2 game over the Red Sox in 10 innings Saturday night for their third victory in the last four games. Boston (7-8/4-4 road) has lost three of four.

Red Sox vs Rays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Boston Red Sox +135 +1.5 (-155) Over 7.5 (-115)
Tampa Bay Rays -160 -1.5 (+125) Under 7.5 (-105)

Odds as of April 23rd at BetMGM.

The Rays are -160 favorites in a game that will be shown on MLB Network (out of market) only and have an implied win probability of 61.54%. Tampa Bay has World Series odds of +1500 and Boston’s are +2200.

Probable Pitchers

A pair of left-handers square off as Rich Hill (0-1, 7.00) starts for the Red Sox against Shane McClanahan (0-1, 2.40). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Hill vs McClanahan

0-1 Record 0-1
7.00 ERA 2.40
4.30 xERA 2.40
1.56 WHIP 1.00
2.00 SO/W 4.80

Hill struggled in his last outing, losing to the Minnesota Twins on Monday at Boston just three days after the death of his father. He lasted 4.2 innings and allowed four runs on six hits with two strikeouts and two walks.

Hill is 2-0 in his career against the Rays with a 4.01 ERA in 12 games (three starts). He pitched for Tampa Bay last season and is 4-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 16 games (13 starts) at Tropicana Field.

This will be Hill’s second road start after he gave up three runs in 4.1 innings in a no-decision against the Tigers on April 12 at Detroit in his season debut. Each of his starts have been during the day.

The Rays’ Kevin Kiermaier is hitless in seven at-bats against Hill.

McClanahan had a strong outing his last time out as he held the Cubs to one run and four hits in six innings on Monday at Chicago. He did not factor in the decision, though, despite having nine strikeouts and no walks.

The last time McClanahan faced the Red Sox he had a nightmarish outing, giving up five runs in 0.2 innings of relief in Game 4 of last year’s ALDS as Boston completed the series win. Overall, McClanahan is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA against the Red Sox in five games (four starts).

McClanahan is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two starts at The Trop this season. In his lone start in a day game, McClanahan pitched 4.1 scoreless innings in a no-decision against the visiting Baltimore Orioles on April 8 in the season opener.

McClanahan’s AL Cy Young odds are +1400

The Red Sox’s Rafael Devers is 5 for 11 (.455) with one home run off McClanahan but Xander Bogaerts is 1 for 6.

Red Sox vs Rays Betting Outlook

Kiermaier’s two-run walk-off home run capped a three-run Rays’ rally in the bottom of the 10th Saturday night. That came after the Red Sox broke up Tampa Bay’s no-hit bid and scored twice in the top of the inning.

Down 2-0, the Rays scored a run on a two-out throwing error by second baseman Trevor Story. Kiermaier then connected off Hansel Robles.

Bobby Dalbec’s leadoff triple in the top of the 10th was the Red Sox’s first hit and drove in automatic runner Jackie Bradley Jr. Christian Vazquez drove in Dalbec with a sacrifice fly.

There were just five hits in the game, three by the Rays and two by the Red Sox.

Red Sox designated hitter J.D. Martinez (groin) sat out a third straight game but did take batting practice and is questionable for Sunday. Rays third baseman Yandy Diaz is day-to-day after being placed on the COVID-19 injured list prior to Saturday’s game.

This is the first series of the season between the teams after the Rays went 11-8 against the Red Sox last season before losing to them in the ALDS. Tampa Bay leads the series 32-22 since the start of the 2019 season.

Red Sox vs Rays Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
4/23/22 Rays Red Sox TB, 3-2
4/22/22 Rays Red Sox BOS, 4-3
10/11/21 Red Sox Rays BOS, 6-5
10/10/21 Red Sox Rays BOS, 6-4
10/8/21 Rays Red Sox BOS, 14-6
10/7/21 Rays Red Sox TB, 5-0
9/8/21 Red Sox Rays BOS, 2-1
9/7/21 Red Sox Rays TB, 12-7
9/6/21 Red Sox Rays TB, 11-10
9/2/21 Rays Red Sox BOS, 4-0

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

McClanahan has pitched well this season and he should be motivated facing the Red Sox after last October’s meltdown. Saturday night’s dramatic win should also give the Rays a lift.

Pick: Rays moneyline -160

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