Jorge Polanco home run trot

May 27, 2022; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins second base Jorge Polanco (11) celebrates his two-run home run against the Kansas City Royals with third base coach Tommy Watkins (40) during the first inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports

  • The Royals vs Twins odds favor Minnesota as -150 moneyline favorites on Saturday (May 28, 2:10pm ET)
  • KC will send Brady Singer (1-0, 1.83 ERA) to the mound, while Minnesota will counter with Chris Archer (0-1, 3.86 ERA)
  • Read below for the Royals vs Twins odds, analysis and betting prediction

The baseball season is less than two months old, yet Saturday afternoon will mark the ninth meeting already between the Royals and Twins.

Entering play on Friday night, Minnesota held a slim advantage over KC in their season series. It’s quite surprising the results haven’t been more lopsided given the large discrepancy in their records. The Twins lead the AL Central with a 27-18 mark, while the Royals are off to a dismal 15-28 start.

Royals vs Twins Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Kansas City Royals +130 +1.5 (-155) O 8.5 (-125)
Minnesota Twins -150 -1.5 (+135) U 8.5 (+105)

Odds as of May 27th at Caesars Sportsbook

As for Saturday, Minnesota opened up as -150 moneyline favorites at home, in a contest that features a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm ET at Target Field in Minneapolis, MN, with clear skies and 76 degree temperatures in the forecast.

Kansas City vs Minnesota Starting Pitchers

The Twins will send Chris Archer to the mound who’s still searching for his first victory of the season. Archer has been impressive in back to back outings, but has had trouble pitching deep into games. He’s failed to make it out of the 5th inning in any of his eight starts this season, including his lone appearance against KC.

Archer faced the Royals at the beginning of the season, yielding four hits and two runs over 4.1 innings in a no decision. He’s allowed only five hits and two runs total in his past two starts versus Detroit and Oakland, and has surrendered more than two runs in a start just once all year.

Singer vs Archer

1-0 Record 0-1
1.83 ERA 3.86
0.97 WHIP 1.38
.211 OBA .224
4.5 SO/W Ratio 1.8

KC will give the ball to Brady Singer, who’s looked like a top contender in the Cy Young odds lately. He’s fresh off back-to-back seven inning performances, where he shut out both Chicago and Minnesota.

Singer started the season with three-straight relief appearances, before being sent down to Triple-A. He’s been recalled twice over the past two weeks for a pair of spot starts and has been spectacular in each one. He’s yielded just eight hits in 14 innings as a starter in 2022, posting a 12-to-3 strikeout-to-walk rate.

Royals vs Twins Betting Analysis

Despite Minnesota’s impressive record, the Twins lineup isn’t one that has been performing like that of a true World Series odds contender. Minnesota ranks below league average in runs per game, homers and slugging percentage, and has fared significantly worse versus righties like Singer than lefties.

The Twins’ slugging percentage is 22 points lower against righties, while their OPS is 46 points lower. To make matters worse, they’re striking out in 26.2% of their at-bats versus righties this season.

KC also presents a favorable matchup for Archer and the subsequent Minnesota relievers. The Royals rank bottom eight in runs per game, slugging and OPS. Andrew Benintendi is the only regular with a batting average above .265, and the only position player with a WAR north of 0.4.

KC vs MIN Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
5/26/22 Royals Twins KC, 3-2
5/22/22 Twins Royals MIN, 7-6
5/21/22 Twins Royals MIN, 9-2
5/20/22 Twins Royals MIN, 6-4
4/21/22 Twins Royals MIN, 1-0
4/20/22 Twins Royals KC, 2-0
4/19/22 Twins Royals KC, 4-3
10/3/21 Twins Royals MIN, 7-3
10/2/21 Twins Royals MIN, 4-0
10/1/21 Twins Royals KC, 11-6

Royals vs Twins Pick

With mediocre offensive numbers like that, targeting under 8.5 runs on Saturday seems prudent. Prior to Friday’s contest, each of Minnesota’s last three games produced six runs or less, while 13 of their past 15 home outings have fallen below nine runs.

Archer may not last long for the Twins but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. Twins relievers own the highest strand rate in baseball, while ranking top-10 in xFIP.

With two underwhelming offenses and Singer dealing on the other side, a low scoring outcome on Saturday is how to attack this game.

Pick: Under 8.5 Runs (+105)

Author Image

Sports Writer


Source link